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Oud 20 februari 2017, 17:50   #1061
Micele
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Locatie: Limburg
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Standaard Batterijprijs naar < $125/kWh ?

Tesla M3 accupack zou maar 6500 € kunnen kosten door massaproductie in GF. Voor het wslk 55 kWh basismodel, schrijft Electrek:

Citaat:
https://electrek.co/2017/02/18/tesla...ctory-model-3/

Feb 18 2017

Tesla is now claiming 35% battery cost reduction at ‘Gigafactory 1’ – hinting at breakthrough cost below $125/kWh

Tesla has never officially disclosed its battery cost beyond claiming to be “below $190/kWh” in early 2016. That was before any battery cell manufacturing was taking place at the Gigafactory.

Since announcing its plans to build the gigantic factory, Tesla guided a battery pack cost reduction of “30%”, but CEO Elon Musk has often hinted over the years that he is confident it could be more than that.

The fact that Tesla is now claiming a “35% reduction in battery cost” in what appears to be a new promotional video displayed in some of its stores seems to be evidence of that.

It’s even more interesting that the claim is being made now that Tesla and Panasonic actually started production of its new ‘2170’ battery cell at the Gigafactory. Tesla CTO JB Straubel said last year that he doesn’t think battery cost will be a limiting factor in Tesla achieving the $35,000 price point for the Model 3 and it’s starting to be clear why he said that.

While Tesla is not disclosing actual numbers, its battery cost structure is starting to become clearer as you link the bits and pieces that they have disclosed.

Starting from the “less than $190/kWh” cost and applying a 35% reduction leads to “less than $124/kWh”. If we assume a 55 kWh battery pack, the battery in the base Model 3 would cost “less than” $6,875. While it would still likely be the most costly component in the car, it’s starting to become reasonable in a $35,000 vehicle.

The “holy grail” of battery cost, meaning when most battery-powered vehicles will be cost competitive with gas-powered ones even before accounting for gas saving, is believed to be $100/kWh. In the past, Musk said that he would be “disappointed” if Tesla doesn’t hit the milestone before 2020, but that was before they accelerated the Gigafactory production plan by two years in order to meet the new Model 3 production plan.

Here’s the video filmed earlier this week at Third Street Promenade Tesla store in Santa Monica – via EVAnnex: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Us9AgX7iGA
Duits: http://teslamag.de/news/gigafactory-...rbevideo-12599

Woensdag http://ir.tesla.com/events.cfm of donderdag wordt het jaarverslag bekend gemaakt, dan weten we wslk nog wat meer. Door de hoge investeringen in GF ( ~ 1 miljard $ /jaar) zal Tesla zeker nog een groot jaarverlies maken, ik schat tussen 0,5 en 0,8 miljard $.
Ben toch benieuwd hoe de beurs gaat reageren op de cijfers van het 4Q-2016 (de andere kwartalen zijn gekend)
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De vuile waarheid over ICE (vanaf 1 min 35")
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk-LnUYEXuM
Nederlandse versie: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kekJgcSdN38

Laatst gewijzigd door Micele : 20 februari 2017 om 18:17.
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