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Oud 9 augustus 2017, 08:57   #833
Micele
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Standaard Lijst: waarom de $ 7500 premie de E-wagen een startvoordeel geeft

Want die premie gaat ook in de USA afgebouwd worden en gans verdwijnen eens Tesla 200.000 auto's verkocht heeft in de USA.

Prijzenlijst en enkele specs: Model 3 versus "premium" middenklasse:


Meer specs en uitleg: https://cleantechnica.com/2017/08/06...traight-specs/

Vergeet wel niet dat de superbenzine (€ 0,515/l) en diesel in de USA maar goed 1/3 kosten van gemiddeld W-Europa. Maar de stroom is er evenzo gemiddeld 1/3 van de EU, zowat 10 €cent/ kWh gemiddeld.
Citaat:
https://www.eia.gov/electricity/state/
U.S. average retail price per kilowatthour is 10.41 cents
Met die premie is zelfs een long range niet duurder in aankoop dan de fossiele concurrentie in de middenklasse, met minder onderhoud- en brandstof-kosten extra goedkoper.

- Het halveren/wegvallen van die federale premie, ergens lente/herfst 2018 voorzien zal de US-navraag (sterk) temperen.
Maar ook daar stelt Tesla zijn geleidelijk stijgende productie wat op af in de mate van het mogelijke, ze kunnen die data redelijk precies inschatten wanneer ze 200.000 verkocht gaan hebben, hier de ## uitleg: https://electrek.co/2017/07/05/tesla...al-tax-credit/

- Maar dan brengt Tesla in de lente 2018 de dualmotorversie uit en wat later de performance-versie. Tesla houdt ze in spanning...

- En in de lente 2018 wordt de Europese verkoop/leveringen ook gestart, daarna de andere werelddelen.

- Geen wonder dat enkele beursanalysten het aandeel zeer ruim boven $ 400 upgraden... zelfs met strong buy...
http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/tsla/analyst-research
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/ano...buy-2017-08-08

Citaat:
## https://electrek.co/2017/07/05/tesla...al-tax-credit/

Tesla Model 3: new production plan’s effect on $7,500 federal tax credit

Fred Lambert - Jul. 5th 2017

While one of the Tesla Model 3’s goals is to make electric cars competitive with gas-powered cars before EV incentives, some US-based reservation holders are still counting on the $7,500 federal tax credit to buy the vehicle.

Tesla recently updated its guidance for the rollout of the vehicle and we take a quick look at how it could affect access to the federal tax credit.


As we previously reported, the $7,500 federal tax credit starts to phase out after an automaker hits 200,000 rebates.

The tax credit program states that the phase-out period starts during the second calendar quarter after the calendar quarter in which it reached the cap – meaning that customers will still receive the full $7,500 tax credit for at least a full quarter. In other words, people will still get the full credit for 3 to 6 months after they hit the mark.

After that, the tax credit is reduced by 50% for 6 months and then another 50% for another 6 months before being completely phased out.

The whole process makes the timing of Tesla delivering its 200,000th vehicle in the US very important. Earlier this year, we reported on Tesla reaching 100,000 vehicles in the US.

It’s difficult to predict when Tesla will hit 200,000 vehicles, but it looks unlikely that it will be by the end of the year with Elon Musk’s updated guidance for early Model 3 production.

Earlier this week, Musk said that they plan to deliver the first 30 units at an event at the end of the month and scale to 100 units in August, 1,500 units in September, and they aim for a production rate of 20,000 units in **December, which is the most important thing.

The production rate at the moment they hit 200,000 vehicles determines how many people can still benefit from federal tax credit during the first phase-out period.

If Tesla sticks to Musk’s guidance for the Model 3 production ramp up and deliveries stay concentrated in the US, it looks like the phase-out would start during the first quarter 2018.

That’s where things start to get interesting because in order to optimize the number of people benefiting from federal tax credit, Tesla would try to hit the mark early in the quarter or wait for the next, and concentrate Model 3 production in the US during that period, which could result in pushing deliveries in other countries.

But if Musk is right and they can be at 20,000 Model 3 vehicles per month by December, it could solve most of the problems and they could work through most of Tesla’s Model 3 backlog in the US with the federal tax credit available.

Either way, it looks like US-based Model 3 buyers should have access to at least half of the $7,500 federal tax credit throughout 2018 and likely the entire credit for most of the year.
**Update: 10.000 per week is pas mogelijk vanaf ergens begin 2018, 5000 per week is tegen einde 2017 haalbaar.
Timeline weekproductie p/c via https://www.tesla.com/model3


Model 3 production has started with low volumes but will grow exponentially until we achieve full production. A similar production ramp will follow with each new available option.

- 2017 Production begins in the US, with the Long Range Battery
- Customer deliveries begin in late October
- Production of the Standard Battery begins in November

- 2018 All-Wheel Drive production begins in the Spring
- International deliveries of left-hand drive vehicles begin in the second half of the year

- 2019 Production of right-hand drive vehicles begins
__________________
De vuile waarheid over ICE (vanaf 1 min 35")
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk-LnUYEXuM
Nederlandse versie: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kekJgcSdN38

Laatst gewijzigd door Micele : 9 augustus 2017 om 09:27.
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