https://www.rethinkx.com/press-relea...hicles-by-2030
New report: Due to major transportation disruption, 95% of U.S. car miles will be traveled in self-driving, electric, shared vehicles by 2030
Automotive and energy sectors face massive changes
LONDON and SAN FRANCISCO — A historic revolution in transportation will end over 100 years of individual vehicle ownership and reshape the world’s energy economy in the process. That’s according to a groundbreaking new research report, Rethinking Transportation 2020-2030: The Disruption of Transportation and the Collapse of the ICE Vehicle and Oil Industries.
Assuming existing technologies and using well-established cost curves, the report, produced by RethinkX, an independent research group, provides a detailed analysis of data, market, consumer and regulatory dynamics. It finds that within 10 years of the regulatory approval of driverless vehicles:
95 percent of U.S. passenger miles traveled will be served by on-demand Autonomous Electric Vehicles (A-EVs) owned by companies providing Transport as a Service (TaaS).
A-EVs engaged in TaaS will make up 60 percent of U.S vehicle stock.
As fewer cars travel more miles, the number of passenger vehicles on American roads will drop from 247 million in 2020 to 44 million in 2030.
“We are on the cusp of one of the fastest, deepest, most consequential disruptions of transportation in history,” said co-author Tony Seba, RethinkX co-founder, author of “Clean Disruption of Energy and Transportation,” and instructor at Stanford Continuing Studies. “But there is nothing magical about it. This is driven by the economics.”
Rethinking Transportation details how the approval of autonomous vehicles will unleash a market grab by existing and new ride-share companies, who will abandon internal combustion engines (ICE) for A-EVs for purely cost reasons. As a result:
Using TaaS will be four to 10 times cheaper per mile than buying a new car, and two to four times cheaper than operating an existing paid-off vehicle, by 2021.
The cost of TaaS will be driven down by several factors, including utilization rates that are 10 times higher; electric vehicle lifetimes exceeding 500,000 miles; and far lower maintenance, energy, finance and insurance costs.
The average American household will save $5,600 per year by giving up its gas-powered car and traveling by autonomous, electric TaaS vehicles.
These cost savings will drive both potential new car buyers and existing owners to abandon vehicle ownership and move to TaaS.
There is a clear path to free transportation under TaaS, which would accelerate the disruption and bring even more savings to American families and a bigger boost to the economy.
TaaS vehicles will provide universal, affordable point-to-point transportation to those left behind by the current private and public transport system, including the disabled, the young, the elderly, populations living on fixed incomes or highly variable (gig economy) incomes, and the poor.
“While these projections may seem radical because they differ from mainstream and incumbent industry projections, they are really quite conservative because they are based on assumptions that in some cases have already been bested by new technologies and plummeting prices,” said Bryan Hansel, CEO of Chanje Energy (formerly Nohm Technologies).
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download studie ook via:
https://www.rethinkx.com/
Men denkt dan ook aan SAAS - Software as a Service - is zeker al door menige gebruikt:
https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Software_as_a_Service