[Micele]

andere merken
https://www.recurrentauto.com/resear...ry-replacement

Dalende trend qua kosten, en steeds meer (externe) bedrijven specialiseren zich zoals men kan lezen.

Als die trend zich verder zet, wordt het alvast goedkoper dan het vervangen van een ICE-motor, wie weet zelfs bij de zwaarste batterijpacks.

How much does an EV battery replacement cost?

Electric car battery replacement costs outside of warranty can range from $6,500 to $20,000, depending on the size and manufacturer, but these out-of-pocket repairs are extremely rare.

This is partly due to EV batteries lasting longer than many people expected. While the overall rate of replacement in the Recurrent community is only 2.5%, the highest rate of battery replacements come from the very first generation of EVs on the road. These cars are now 14 years old.

Are replacement costs going up or down?

The cost of batteries fluctuate - going up some months and down others - but the overall cost trend is declining.

As battery prices continue to decline, the price you would pay today is different than the price you would pay next year or in 5 years. in 2019, the Mack Institute for Innovation Management at the Wharton School for Business aggregated data found across academia, news, search engines, experts within the industry, and public statements by manufacturers.

They found a 16% decline in battery pack cost between 2007 and 2019. The authors estimated in 2019 that the average cost of battery packs was $161/kWh. With that estimate, in 2019, the cost of an out-of-warranty 100 kWh battery, as is common in Tesla long range vehicles, would be at least $16,100 before labor, taxes, etc. If the trend in battery price reduction stays constant, then by 2025 the price in 2019$ should be ~$56/kWh, or $5,600 to replace a 100 kWh battery.

That’s a big change in how much an EV battery costs to replace.

However, it's worth noting that the overall downward market trend in the price of lithium faltered in 2021 - 2022 and the price of battery components actually began to rise a bit.

As of March 2023, the price is coming back down, though, and has fallen nearly 20% since the beginning of the year. High demand for old lithium ion batteries will keep prices for battery replacements stable for at least another year.

btw. de batterijpackprijzen zijn gemiddeld 90% gedaald tussen 2008 en 2023 vind ik op een overheidssite:

https://www.energy.gov/eere/vehicles...sts-light-duty

FOTW #1354, August 5, 2024: Electric Vehicle Battery Pack Costs for a Light-Duty Vehicle in 2023 Are 90% Lower than in 2008, according to DOE Estimates[

The Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Vehicle Technologies Office estimates the cost of a electric vehicle lithium-ion battery pack for a light-duty vehicle declined 90% between 2008 and 2023 (using 2023 constant dollars). The 2023 estimate is $139/kWh on a usable-energy basis for production at scale of at least 100,000 units per year. That compares to $1,415/kWh in 2008. The decline in cost is due to improvements in battery technologies and chemistries, as well as improvements in manufacturing and increases in production volume.