5 augustus 2009, 13:55
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#1
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Secretaris-Generaal VN
Geregistreerd: 11 januari 2008
Locatie: La Paz - Lanaken
Berichten: 23.618
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Een verdeeld en afhankelijk europa verliest invloed ten voordele van China en de VS
Francesco Siscischrijft in zijn artikel 'Fading Europe aids China's US ties'
Citaat:
Furthermore, China’s economy will most likely grow in the coming decades - and so will its political power. Therefore, Europe’s relative gravitas in both global affairs and American issues will proportionately decrease.
The euro is a very important currency, and it will remain so for many years. However, without a political head, it is bound to remain little more than an instrument of trade. Furthermore, the European Union is without a united foreign or defense policy, and thus collaboration on military campaigns is bound to remain negotiated by the US on a country-by-country basis, while the EU's overall might won’t massively increase. In other words, European countries' participation could grow more cumbersome and less essential in the coming decades.
Certainly, many countries will keep their niches. Germany and the northern countries will hold on to their specialization in mechanics; Britain will be one of the centers of finance and higher education; France will dictate the standard for bon ton and good wines; Italy will remain some kind of open-air amusement park with good food and good weather; and the Iberian Peninsula will continue to be the picturesque European projection of Latin America. All of these things are of keen interest but realistically out of the big game - although few will admit it, out of politeness and memory of the old might.
These trends are surely not set in stone, and they can be reversed and changed by setting in motion different trends. But to do it, Europe should develop its own unified Asia policy, set its own priorities and learn to have one voice on the euro and European defense strategy. However, there are no signs that Europe or individual European countries are realizing their incumbent marginalization - and even less showing any sign of reaction to it.
If that were to occur, the whole geopolitical game would take a very different spin. Europe is after all still the largest trading power in the world, but it is a gigantic hydra with no legs and 25 heads. Will European governments take the hint from the US-China dialogue and see that they have to move now because in five or 10 years it will be too late? It is unlikely.
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Wanneer zal Europa WOII van zich afwerpen en voor zichzelf beginnen denken?
Laatst gewijzigd door Johan Bollen : 5 augustus 2009 om 14:03.
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