[Turkse Nederlander]

Vertaling naar het Engels met google translate:


Turkey is heading towards a large settlement of final accounts. This is due, as might be feared in a conflict of race or religion. The country is crossed by a fracture more fundamental and more dangerous.

We now have one side a great mass of people who take off their shoes before entering a house, women who cover their heads, boys who frequent the cafes while the girls are subject to rules very oppressive, people whose homes are lit by bare bulbs, who appreciate music halfway between the popular song and the arabesque, which have perhaps never read a book, never danced, the men who never went to dinner with their wives, have never been to the theater, have very little education and profess strong religious feelings.

On the other hand, there are those - and that since the establishment includes a high school girls - who have been educated at the prestigious Robert College in Istanbul, who have danced at weddings and parties, who go to movies, read - sometimes - books have a fairly good level of education, musical tastes ranging from pop to classical houses decorated with taste and some women who do not cover the head. These are people that do not perhaps their daughter to attend a boy, but turn their heads when this happens. They believe in God but pray rarely drink alcohol at parties mixed after the release, watch talk shows and live more or less according to Western standards.
A Turkish crisis

The lifestyles of these two groups are alike in any way. Unlike what happens in the West where such things as church music, religious iconography and Bible stories, including adapted to the screen, create a sensibility shared by all classes, n 'Turkey is no common cultural ground capable of uniting them. Their lives, their tastes and beliefs are totally different. And even antagonistic.

The first group has been despised, discredited and poorly treated during the years of the Republic. Now, numerically important, he has organized politically and has a political power enabling him to win all elections. But it will come to power by accepting certain Western standards, so he tries to appropriate democratic values and improve its relations with the West.

The second group is a minority and because he knows he will never return to power if it respects the rules Western policies, it gradually became hostile to the democratic values of the West.

The army plays an important role in this cultural disintegration. It is composed of children of the first group to cooperate with the second group, which is hostile to him. In a sense, the army betrays its own roots.

The presidential election exposed to light the intentions of both parties and showed how their conflict was acute. The second group, backed by the army no longer wants election. And each day that passes sees the swelling rumors of a possible coup. We talk of junta. But what would happen if a coup?
A strategic and comprehensive crisis

The group whose lifestyle is closer to the western lifestyle to power with army support, but lose the West. Europe will vote strongly against a military coup. The United States could accept a coup in exchange for support for his policy in northern Iraq and across the Middle East. But a country that has occupied Iraq by claiming that he wanted to bring "democracy" would be very difficult to explain to the world and his own people that he supports a military coup in Turkey. They should therefore, willingly or unwillingly, to oppose a coup. But when will this country which benefits from Western funding and whose military is equipped with weapons supplied by the West, it must sever its ties with it?

If Turkey is experiencing a coup, the world will attend a phenomenon that has never happened: Turkey will seek to establish a partnership with Russia and Iran. It will obtain these weapons both countries, energy and finance. Natural gas, oil and nuclear power of Russia and Iran will be sufficient to maintain Turkey's head above water, even if only for a brief period. And a block consisting of Russia, Turkey and Iran will certainly not change the overall balance. It will take total control of the Middle East. It imprison Europe in the borders of his small continent. It will draw into its orbit the Caucasus, Afghanistan and Pakistan. It will establish close relations with the Muslim world. There will even be able to propose a partnership with China. The new block would have considerable power over the military, financial and energy. The Turkish crack and lead to a global divide.

If a third world war would happen, I think it could emerge from this rift. I would like this scenario to be studied by the two sides facing each other in Turkey. In Europe, which behaves insolent with a country whose imperial legacy is at once beautiful and pathetic, and trying to push Turkey out of its range, and by America, who believes playing more malignant leading double game in its policy towards Turkey.

That bloody conflict that seems to be emerging in Turkey to set fire to the whole world is not a possibility so remote as you think. The first world war has begun by two shots.