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Oorspronkelijk geplaatst door Hoofdstraat
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Een normaal bedrijf dat 16 jaar zwaar verlies lijdt daar wordt niet in geïnvesteerd, die gaan zelfs geen geld meer krijgen van banken.
In die link staat -vetgedrukt- dat TeslaX steeds meer waard gaat worden, meer hoeft dat niet te zijn:
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This works out to an increase in the company's revenue multiple from 11.4 to 16.2 – an increase of more than 42% even though the company’s revenues were relatively stagnant over this period. As SpaceX’s space launch service works on extremely low profit margins, and has limited scope for growth over the long run, we believe that the increase was primarily due to the potential value proposition from Starlink. However, given the sharp increase we forecast in SpaceX’s launch revenues, we estimate a current revenue multiple of 13 for 2018, and 12 for 2019, as detailed in the chart above. This works out to a current valuation of $26 billion for the company – potentially increasing to over $32 billion in 2019.
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Ook via wiki:
En de lanceringen A x B brengen steeds meer inkomsten = C op.
Meer lanceringen die zelfs steeds minder kosten, SpaceX geeft zelfs korting bij lanceringen met hergebruikte trappen.
... voor zover het "juist" is volgens Trefis Dashboard:
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http://dashboards.trefis.com/no-logi...acex-valuation
What Is Driving SpaceX's Revenues & Valuation?
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Revenues for SpaceX are currently limited to the fee it charges for its space launch service
No. of successful launches climbed from 6 in 2014 to 18 in 2017, and should be 31 in 2018.
Revenue per launch has fallen steadily because:
- Long-term Contracts resulted in additional payments over initial years
- SpaceX offers discounts for launches that reuse rocket components 
As shown above, our forecast for SpaceX’s launches and average revenue per launch in 2018 and 2019 results in revenue forecasts of about $2 billion and $2.7 billion, respectively.
To arrive at the revenue multiples used by early investors to value SpaceX over the years, we plotted our estimates for revenues with SpaceX’s valuation. We interpolated the yearly valuation for the company from funding-round valuation figures of $12 billion in 2014 and $21 billion in 2017.
(idem link Forbes)
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SpaceX's Revenues Should Increase To Over $2 Billion In 2018 From ~$1 Billion Over 2014-16, While Its Valuation Has Jumped From $12 Billion In 2014 to Over $25 Billion Now
SpaceX is a space technology company primarily focused on manufacturing and launching rockets and spaceships. Since it was founded in 2002, the company has reached several historic milestones - many of them related to the reuse of various components of a rocket. This Trefis Dashboard details the factors driving SpaceX's revenues over the years, while also estimating that the company could be worth north of $32 billion in 2019.
Currently, the only source of revenue for SpaceX is its space launch service, which launches satellites into low earth orbit and transports cargo to and from the International Space Station. However, the rapidly increasing valuation can be attributed to bigger potential revenue streams in the future including:
- Space-based global internet network, Starlink
- Point-to-point travel on Earth, made possible by its reusable rocket technology
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