[Micele]

En de hoeveelheid... bij de Exxon Valdez ramp zou 31 miljoen liter gelekt zijn.

FSO Safer heeft 136 miljoen liter aan boord...

Via wiki zijn al 2 simulaties te vinden van een olieramp, uit deze studie:

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-021-00774-8

Public health impacts of an imminent Red Sea oil spill

Abstract

The possibility of a massive oil spill in the Red Sea is increasingly likely. The Safer, a deteriorating oil tanker containing 1.1 million barrels of oil, has been deserted near the coast of Yemen since 2015 and threatens environmental catastrophe to a country presently in a humanitarian crisis. Here, we model the immediate public health impacts of a simulated spill. We estimate that all of Yemen’s imported fuel through its key Red Sea ports would be disrupted and that the anticipated spill could disrupt clean-water supply equivalent to the daily use of 9.0–9.9 million people, food supply for 5.7–8.4 million people and 93–100% of Yemen’s Red Sea fisheries. We also estimate an increased risk of cardiovascular hospitalization from pollution ranging from 5.8 to 42.0% over the duration of the spill. The spill and its potentially disastrous impacts remain entirely preventable through offloading the oil. Our results stress the need for urgent action to avert this looming disaster.

Fig. 1: Simulated surface oil concentration.



a–f, Average surface oil concentration of 1,000 simulated spills in the winter (a,b,c) and in the summer (d,e,f). Columns denote progress of the 1,000 spills after one week (a,d), two weeks (b,e) and three weeks (c,f). Coloured contours represent percentiles of average surface concentration over 1,000 simulated spills and can be interpreted as the expected surface concentration relative to other grid cells in the exposed area. Shaded region represents the area within which approximately 90% of spill trajectories are expected to fall. Blue dots represent desalination plants.

Fig. 4: Simulated air pollution concentration:



a–d, Projected 24-hour average air pollution concentration at the end of spill in the winter (a,b) and summer (c,d) for fast-release spills (a,c) and slow-release spills (b,d). e, Population density plot.