Hoe loopt het af ?

[parcifal]

Oorspronkelijk geplaatst door maddox

Heel Oekraïne spreekt Russisch....

De Oekraiense vluchtelingen die wij bij ons thuis opvangen momenteel spreken geen woord Russisch.

Niet kunnen (en moesten ze kunnen : niet willen)

[Jan van den Berghe]

Oorspronkelijk geplaatst door edwinp

Wat verwachten jullie in de nabije toekomst

Door de ogen van een Chinees. Ook al kan het evengoed een schimmenspel zijn. In Peking weet je immers nooit.

Feng Yujun is wel niet de eerste de beste:

FENG Yujun

Professor, Vice Dean, Institute of International Studies, Fudan University

Director, Center for Russian and Central Asian Studies, Fudan University

Research Interests: Russia-Eurasia Issues, Shanghai Cooperation Organization, International Energy Security and Diplomatic Power Relations, China's Peripheral Security and Russian International Relations Theory

https://iis.fudan.edu.cn/en/88/fb/c3...66139/page.htm

Russia is sure to lose in Ukraine, says Chinese expert on Russia

Feng Yujun, one of China's leading Russianists and a professor at Peking University: Russia is sure to lose in Ukraine – The Economist reports. The value is not in his insights but in the fact who he is - reflecting the mood among Chinese let’s say elites…

Four reasons why the Russian Federation will lose to Ukraine, according to Feng Yujun, a professor at Peking University.

???? The first is the level of resistance and national unity shown by Ukrainians, which has until now been extraordinary.

???? The second is international support for Ukraine, which, though recently falling short of the country’s expectations, remains broad.

???? The third factor is the nature of modern warfare, a contest that turns on a combination of industrial might and command, control, communications and intelligence systems. One reason Russia has struggled in this war is that it is yet to recover from the dramatic deindustrialisation it suffered after the disintegration of the Soviet Union.

???? The final factor is information. When it comes to decision-making, Vladimir Putin is trapped in an information cocoon, thanks to his having been in power so long. The Russian president and his national-security team lack access to accurate intelligence. The system they operate lacks an efficient mechanism for correcting errors. Their Ukrainian counterparts are more flexible and effective.

His conclusion:

???? Russia will be forced to withdraw from all occupied Ukrainian territories, including Crimea.

???? Russia's nuclear capability is no guarantee of success. Feng Yujun gives the example of the United States, which left Vietnam, Korea, and Afghanistan with no less nuclear potential than the Russian Federation has today.

???? Kyiv has proven that Moscow is not invincible, so a ceasefire under the "Korean" scenario is ruled out.

???? The war is a turning-point for Russia. It has consigned Putin’s regime to broad international isolation. He has also had to deal with difficult domestic political undercurrents, from the rebellion by the mercenaries of the Wagner Group and other pockets of the military — for instance in Belgorod — to ethnic tensions in several Russian regions and the recent terrorist attack in Moscow. These show that political risk in Russia is very high. Mr Putin may recently have been re-elected, but he faces all kinds of possible black-swan events.

???? After the war, Ukraine will have the chance join both the EU and NATO, while Russia will lose its former Soviet republics because they see Putin's aggression there as a threat to their sovereignty and territorial integrity.

According to Feng Yujun, the war, meanwhile, has made Europe wake up to the enormous threat that Russia’s military aggression poses to the continent’s security and the international order, bringing post-cold-war EU-Russia detente to an end. Many European countries have given up their illusions about Mr Putin’s Russia.

https://www.economist.com/by-invitat...pert-on-russia

[satiper]

Zou het niet erg afhankelijk kunnen zijn of de volgende president van de USA Trump heet of niet?

[E. Gidius]

Oorspronkelijk geplaatst door ViveLaBelgique

De EU en de USA gaan afzien met afkickverschijnselen van China import en goedkoop gas.

Goed om dit twee jaar later nog eens te lezen: de angstporno van het Poetinkamp is niet echt uitgekomen hé.

[E. Gidius]

Als er een "vredesakkoord" zou komen waarbij de Russen de gestolen gebieden mogen behouden, dan wordt de rest van Oekraïne lid van de NAVO.

Zoniet kan Rusland op elk moment weer aanvallen.

[Jan van den Berghe]

Oorspronkelijk geplaatst door E. Gidius

Goed om dit twee jaar later nog eens te lezen: de angstporno van het Poetinkamp is niet echt uitgekomen hé.

Net zoals binnen twee jaar ongetwijfeld ook zal duidelijk worden dat er geen grond is voor de actuele angstporno van de Poetintrollen over een nakende WO III en een regen kernkoppen op het Westen.